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On Thinking Part Two

August 6, 2012 by Tony Noerpel filed under Columns, Sustainable Planet, Uncategorized 2 Comments
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“It is paradoxical that the most successful mammalian species, Homo sapiens, should be the one harboring the vast majority of false beliefs.” Wallace Mattson, 2012 [1]

I have one very good friend who reads my drafts and gives me feedback: inevitably good advice though I don’t always heed it. One of his recent suggestions was the observation that if I wanted to influence global warming deniers I might refrain from calling them deniers and instead refer to them as skeptics as they prefer to be called. He has a point. It is easier to attract flies with honey than vinegar, though they also are attracted to feces and stools. My objection to this advice, as good as it may be, is twofold. First, we’ve been referring to deniers as skeptics for the last thirty years to no obvious beneficial effect. Reality continues to spiral out of control and they continue to deny. Second, it is dishonest. While it may on occasion be justified to adopt a dishonest policy if we think it might work, dishonesty can never be a good idea when it is clearly ineffective. Why has calling deniers “skeptics” failed?

The principle reason is that denial is not evidence-based. We cannot expect to engage a denier, whether the object of their denial is the holocaust or human-caused global warming, with facts, data, analysis or hard evidence. Flattery and patience have not been having the intended impact. Another important consideration is that belief-based thinking is easily co-opted by wealthy and powerful interests, specifically in this case the fossil fuels industry but also all large multinational corporations including Microsoft and AT&T; the latter because the only solution to global warming involves regulation, which the wealthy and powerful vigorously and greedily oppose. If corporations are people as Romney believes, they are people with no moral judgment. A third reason is that referring to charlatans and cranks as skeptics only serves to legitimize them while they, not bound by evidence, are at liberty to lie. When we call deniers “skeptics” we effectively become complicit in their dishonesty. Since human-caused global warming is something that needed action 30 years ago, we need to stop letting liars dictate the debate. We need to go on the offensive. It is past time to start ridiculing the ridiculous.

In my last article, I discussed two modes of thinking. The scientific method embraces evidence-based thinking while all ideologies embrace faith-based thinking. This is true even recognizing that some ideologies may endorse some or most (or even all) of scientific knowledge as true. The psychologist Daniel Kahneman, winner of the Nobel Prize for co-founding the behavioral school of economics, identifies what I’m calling evidence-based thinking or analytic thinking as “slow” or as “system 2” [2]. The philosopher Wallace Matson labels the result of this type of thinking, what I’m calling knowledge as “low beliefs” [1]. Knowledge is flexible, testable, tested, probabilistic, evolvable and true. Knowledge can be used to make projections or predictions about the outcome of experiments. This system of thinking has been formalized by humans as the scientific method. Matson considers the sixth century BC Greek naturalist Thales of Miletus to be the first scientist but the scientific method itself was not formalized until the era of Galileo and Newton. As I’ve written previously, discovery of the scientific method is the source of all of human progress and knowledge.

What I’m calling faith-based thinking, Kahneman refers to as “fast” or “system 1” thinking. Mattson refers to the output of such thinking, what I’m calling simply beliefs or ideologies, as “high beliefs”. These are absolute, unyielding, untested and even often untestable and inevitably false. High beliefs generally cannot make successful predictions. We have evolved, for better or worse, with the capability to think both ways and indeed we integrate the two all the time. It is only the scientific method or discipline that culls the weeds. Every scientist I know believes things. Every ideologue accepts some knowledge, at least the convenient stuff. Even evolution deniers and global warming deniers use smart phones and high definition TV.

The following statement is an example of evidence-based knowledge or observation from the peer-reviewed scientific literature, from Barnosky et al [3]: “current extinction rates are higher than those that caused Big Five extinctions in geological time; they could be severe enough to carry extinction magnitudes to the Big Five benchmark in as little as three centuries. It also highlights areas for much-needed future research.” Reading the article one notes that this conclusion is based on a rigorous analysis of available evidence. Its forecast is probabilistic in both timing and outcome. It is testable and indeed the future research indicated in the article is included for just that purpose. There is no doubt that the authors are willing to be wrong. On the other hand, their results are existential. The five big extinction events in Earth’s history, at least during the Phanerozoic Eon, include the End Ordovician, the End Devonian, the End Permian, the End Triassic and the End Cretaceous. At least 75 percent of all species of plants and animals went extinct during each of these events. The conclusion of Barnosky’s paper is that Homo sapiens may be causing the sixth great extinction event, or the extirpation of at least 75 percent of all current extant species. We cannot assume there is much likelihood that our species can survive such an extinction event. This is important knowledge. If it is true even with very low probability, we need to be rapidly and radically modifying our behavior proactively. Yet it is possible that less than 10% of Americans are even vaguely aware of this knowledge. One needs to have the concept of deep time, some geology, paleontology and appreciate that Homo sapiens are dependent on the biosphere from which we’ve evolved and one needs moral judgment (one must value the future of humanity). One cannot be mentally handicapped by a plethora of obviously false high beliefs such as the Inhofe defense: “Only God can change the climate.” As an aside, to show how profoundly immoral Inhofe’s defense is I predict that soon it will be used by indicted murderers: “All I did was load the gun, aim and shoot. God caused the victim to drop dead. Only God can take a life.”

The next statement is an example of a faith-based high belief which was penned by Milton Friedman in Capitalism and Freedom published in 1962 [4]: “the great advances of civilization, in industry or agriculture, have never come from centralized government.” This was written five years after centrally planned Soviet Union launched Sputnik on October 4, 1957 ushering in one of the most remarkable advances of human civilization: the space age. Friedman also overlooked the nuclear age arriving on the coattails of centralized government research and funding in two very different economies, the United States and the Soviet Union. And the King of Spain funded Columbus’ discovery of the New World, also a game changer. Friedman’s statement is absolute, unforgiving, breaches no compromise, welcomes no discussion and is false. It fails the simplest of tests in that it cannot even predict the past. Unfortunately, this belief is accepted as true by most Americans.

It is interesting that America’s failure to be aware of the real evidence-based possibility of human self extinction (or other dire outcome) while blindly accepting Friedman’s faith-based falsehood (and many others) increases the likelihood of our self-extinction.

It would have been more honest and more reflective of the truth had Friedman written instead: “I don’t know where the great advances have come from but this would be an important area of further research.” He might have learned that our great advances had more to do with evidence-based thinking evolving into the scientific method in a positive feedback loop with the increasing exploitation of the low entropy of fossil fuels. They did not come from belief-based thinking of the kind exhibited by Friedman himself. This latter observation makes the testable prediction that if we can encourage evidence-based thinking and acquire low entropy sources we can increase knowledge. Friedman’s statement makes the testable prediction that if we abandon centralized government altogether we can develop knowledge like quantum mechanics, nuclear power, the internet, space exploration, global positioning satellite service, computers, discover the Higgs’ Boson, global warming, acid rain, the dangers of leaded gasoline, and the ozone hole, fund the Lewis and Clarke expedition and put a man on the moon. Friedman may be right that only the private sector could have created credit default swaps and collateralized debt obligations and civilization may have missed out on these “advances” if our congress had not eliminated the government regulatory oversight of the Glass-Steagall Act.

Though the private sector has indeed made positive contributions one might ask, given the funding of global warming denial and the ongoing destruction of America’s experiment with democracy, whether on balance private capital has not contributed more harm than good. This is certainly true of the large multinational corporations. Corporations that are too big to fail may be too big to exist.

With this background, A person who acknowledges the reality of anthropogenic global warming (a climate hawk) can readily cite the four IPCC reports and the fact that every single scientific organization in the world including notably the American Association for the Advancement of Science (founded by Thomas Edison), the American Geophysical Union, the National Academy of Sciences, the American Chemical Society all endorse the IPCC conclusions. Such a person does not have to read the reports or really have detailed knowledge of climate science only moral judgment. The IPCC reports are robust, solid sources. This is evidence-based thinking.

A denier must in the end produce sources of credible evidence and there simply are none. Of all deniers, Richard Lindzen of MIT, had the most credibility. He accepts that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas and that human emissions will warm the planet. But, he tries to prove that the climate sensitivity to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide is small by discovering a large negative feedback, so far unsuccessfully. His last paper submission was rejected by the National Academy of Sciences for publication in their journal [5]. Of the four peer reviewers, he handpicked two of them. His score card:

Role: Reviewer #1
Suitable-Quality: No
Conclusions Justified: No

Role: Reviewer #2
Suitable-Quality: No
Conclusions Justified: No

Role: Reviewer #3
Suitable-Quality: No
Conclusions Justified: No

Role: Reviewer #4
Suitable-Quality: No
Conclusions Justified: No

A denier canard is that deniers cannot get their papers published in the scientific literature because of bias. This complaint has never been true. Deniers get junk published as often as they have anything to contribute. In any event, Lindzen would have selected two reviewers who had no such presumed bias but even these two agreed with the other two referees picked by the Academy. If Lindzen can no longer find any evidence to justify his conclusions, you can be sure there are no other deniers who can.

Long time denier, particle physicist and right wing ideologue, Richard Muller, recently converted to “skepticism”. This left him with the obligation to discover evidence for his opinions. As I have already reported [6]: “[Muller’s team concluded] that the Earth has warmed 0.911 +/- 0.042 degrees C on land during the last four decades, is currently warming at the rate of 2.76 degrees C (5 degrees F) per century, the warming is accelerating, and did not stop in 1998.” I pointed out that this rate of climate change is faster than anything nature seems to have been able to do in the geologically recent past (the last 250 million years) so it also confirms that the warming is human caused. Muller initially stopped short of making this observation himself. However, recently he wrote in a New York Times Op/Ed piece [7]:

“Call me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming. Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct. I’m now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause.”

Muller is no hero. His real conversion was from denial to skepticism. He did not prove that the Earth is warming at an unprecedented rate and he did not prove that humans are the cause. Credible scientists had already done that. What Muller should have admitted if he wanted to be completely truthful is that he and his conservative mates at the George Marshall Institute have been lying all these years about their lack of expertice to understand climate physics. He had never “identified problems in previous climate studies.” That was always a disingenuous claim. What Muller proved is that a very smart person can be fooled by his own faith-based ideologies. But give credit where it is due; human-caused global warming has serious consequences and another set of eyes analyzing the data and reinforcing the IPCC report conclusions, the consensus, is very helpful. Only don’t expect deniers to be rushing for the exits of their dung-filled, fly-infested circus tents.

Another very relevant conclusion of Muller’s study is the estimate of equilibrium climate sensitivity. This is the amount that the earth is expected to warm if atmospheric CO2 is doubled considering only short term feedbacks. Muller estimates this value is 3.1 degrees C and this is actually slightly higher than the mean estimate of the IPCC report. This result kicks more sand in Lindzen’s face.

What Lindzen’s failures and Muller’s conversion mean for the rest of us is exactly what I‘ve been writing about since the inception of this column that there is no scientific support for global warming denial. And thus we can return to my friend’s advice. Frankly, there are no global warming skeptics because like Muller once they become skeptical they cannot escape the shallowness of their own canards. If deniers want to be considered skeptical, then they have to prove it by exposing their own arguments to analytic thinking. Once they do that, like Muller, they will discover for themselves they’ve been wrong. And then maybe we can get on with the business of addressing the myriad problems our misbehavior is causing ourselves and future generations of Homo sapiens.

Late addition
From Jeff Masters http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2171

“The only heat wave in Oklahoma history that compares to this week’s occurred in the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936, the hottest summer in U.S. history. Oklahoma City experienced three days at 110° that summer, and a record streak of 22 straight days with a temperature of 100° or hotter. Those numbers are comparable to 2012′s: three days at 110° or hotter, and a string of 17 consecutive days with temperatures of 100° or hotter. It’s worth noting that Oklahoma City has experienced only 11 days since 1890 with a high of 110° or greater. Three of those days were in 2011, three were in 2012, and three were in the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936. Clouds moved in over Tulsa, Oklahoma yesterday, holding down the high temperature to just 107°, ending that city’s 3-day streak of 110°+ days. The only longer streak was five consecutive days on August 9 – 13, 1936. “

The question is not whether Senator Inhofe is a skeptic or a denier but whether or not he is a fool or a liar.

Figure 1. Most of Oklahoma has experienced eight consecutive days with highs of 100° or more, and many regions, including Oklahoma City, have had a streak of 17 such days. Image credit: http://www.mesonet.org/index.php.

[1] Wallace Matson, Grand Theories and Everyday Beliefs, Oxford University Press, 2011.

[2] Daniel Kahneman, Thinking Fast and Slow, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011.

[3] Anthony D. Barnosky, Nicholas Matzke, Susumu Tomiya, Guinevere O. U.Wogan, Brian Swartz, Tiago B. Quental, Charles Marshall, Jenny L. McGuire, Emily L. Lindsey, Kaitlin C. Maguire, Ben Mersey and Elizabeth A. Ferrer, Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived?, Nature, Vol. 471, 3 March 2011.

[4] Oreskes and Conway, Merchants of Doubt, 2010. See also my previous article: http://brleader.com/?p=2471

[5] http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/01/science/earth/clouds-effect-on-climate-change-is-last-bastion-for-dissenters.html?_r=2&pagewanted=1&seid=auto&smid=tw-nytenvironment The PNAS rejection can be found here: http://www.masterresource.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/Attach3.pdf

[6] http://brleader.com/?p=8276

[7] http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/opinion/the-conversion-of-a-climate-change-skeptic.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all. See also http://climatedenial.org/2012/07/31/the-irresistible-story-of-richard-muller/.

2 comments

  1. aboc zed says:

    Tony,

    Good post. I got here from your comment on QuestionEverything by George Mobus

    I suggest you read material at http://www.condition.org – you may find it very useful account for evolutionary origins of ‘human condition’ and what we can expect over immediate futurre (horizon of 2 -3 generations) and deep time (beyond that).

    I trust you have time and curiosity to read the material and see if its language works for you.

    ZA

    • Tony Noerpel says:

      Hi ZA

      Thank you for your comments and for reading my article. I did check out your reference and here is the problem I have with it. I have no idea who the person is. There is no “about me” link for example. I’m not a fan of anonymity. My second complaint is that there are no references. And this point is exactly why I fault Gregory Mankiw and George Will. Even if one might agree with some of what they write, everybody has to agree that it is unverifiable, and therefore quite useless. Gregory Mankiw’s very thick economics text book has NO references. It is just Mankiw’s rather shaky opinion.

      As to your reference, I’ve no opinion on the content. But we are inundated with reading material and there is only so much time in a day. We all have to exercise a little discernment. My first rule is that there must be clear unambiguous references otherwise the work is unverifiable. Secondly, I want to know who the writer is so that I can email follow up questions if I wish. Otherwise, I find something else to read.

      All right, I’ll concede that what Mankiw and Will write is not totally useless because it is instructive by example how not to think. And these two have considerable influence and are thus fair game for richly deserved ridicule. And they are big boys.

      George Mobus, on the other hand, richly attributes his information. We also all know who he is and how to contact him. I recommend his blog unhesitatingly.

      Best regards

      Tony

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Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

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Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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January 2, 2015

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Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

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Notaviva Vineyards - Bluegrass Jam - FREE event

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Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

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Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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January 6, 2015

Beadazzled
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Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

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Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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January 8, 2015

Beadazzled
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703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

Free Garden Lecture – 180 Miles of Trees: The Living Legacy Tree Project

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January 8, 2015

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Leesburg, VA 20175
USA

The 2015 Master Gardener Lecture series kicks off the year with Peter Hart, certified tree arborist, speaking about the Journey through Hallowed Ground Living Legacy Tree Planting Project -- an ambitious initiative to commemorate the 150th Anniversary of the American Civil War by planting one tree for each of the 620,000 soldiers who died in the war. Peter Hart is a volunteer with the program and is involved in the selection and planting of trees which eventually will create an allee of 180 miles , stretching north to south and over three states.

For more information about the lecture or the Loudoun County VCE Master Gardener program visit the website: www.loudouncountymastergardeners.org or call the Loudoun Extension Office at 703-777-0373.

9

Barns of Rose Hill presents “The Nine”

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January 9, 2015

Barns of Rose Hill
95 Chalmers Ct
Berryville, VA 22611

Founded in 2008 by singer/songwriter Justin Trawick, “The 9 Songwriter Series” is a touring live music event based in Washington, DC. The show was created with the idea of nine artists getting together and combining their talents in order to play in nicer clubs and to larger amounts of people. Each installment features nine solo singer/songwriters performing in rotation and often sitting in with each other, providing audiences with a rich, intimate, varied listening experience. To date, over 60 different artists have participated in “The 9″, at events in DC, Arlington, Bethesda, Baltimore, Annapolis, New York City, Richmond, Charlottesville, Charlotte, and Philadelphia. This show will feature some great artists including Justin Trawick, Melissa Wright, Kipyn Martin, Chelsea McBee, Old Man Luedecke, and others TBA. $12.00 in advance, $15.00 at the door. www.barnsofrosehill.org

10

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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January 10, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

11
12

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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January 12, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

13 14

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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January 14, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

15

Start Your Business

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January 15, 2015

Is owning a small business a good fit for me? What are the steps for starting a business? Will I need funding? What are potential sources of funding? Ruth Cope, Assistant Director of the Loudoun SBDC, and Arthur Thompson, a Principal of Keyser Thompson Insurance Agency, will answer these and other questions essential for successfully starting a small business. Highlights will include:

 

  • Entrepreneurial traits
  • Taxes and licensing
  • Business plan development
  • Sources of financing
  • Marketing
  • Insurance

REGISTER at LoudounSBDC.eventbrite.com.

Fee:  $10 online registration; $15 at the door

Those paying at the door are not guaranteed seating.

16

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

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January 16, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 16, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

17

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 17, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

18

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 18, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 18, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

19

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 19, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

20

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 20, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 20, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

21

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 21, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

22

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 22, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 22, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

Film Showing: "Pay 2 Play: Democracy's High Stakes"

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January 22, 2015

Rust Library
Leesburg, 20175

Come out to hear a compelling case against corporate personhood and money as free speech. This 2014 documentary is a fun guidebook to returning the United States government to its people. Open to everyone and hosted by Loudoun's climate action group, 350 Loudoun, this is a film showing not to miss. See you there!

23

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 23, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

24

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 24, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 24, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

25

Valiant Warrior Quilting by Joshua's Hands

Close

January 25, 2015

Children's Center
205 N. Maple Ave
Purcellville, 20132
540-454-7827

Joshua’s Hands goals are to provide handmade quilts for servicemen and women wounded while serving our country and to share the joy of quilting and working together as a community in a mentoring environment.

Joshua's Hands hosted our first Quilting Event for Wounded Warriors in January 2011. Since then, we have made 701 quilts that were shipped to field hospitals. These events also provide us the opportunity to share the joy and skill of quilting as part of our heritage arts education. People of all ages join in the effort – laughing, stitching, and learning from each other. All are welcome! Optional items to bring: sewing machine, red/white/blue fabrics. If you cannot attend and would like to offset the cost of shipping the quilts you may donate $53 to sponsor a quilt. https://npo.justgive.org/joshuashands. We are also accepting donations of fabric and sewing supplies.

More information at: http://www.joshuashands.org/Valiant_Warrior_Quilting.html or call 540-454-7827.

26

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 26, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

27

JAN Loudoun Federal Contractors Group Networking Event

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January 27, 2015

Network and hear Scott Orbach, President of EZGSA, present briefly on GSA Schedules: Untapped Opportunities, Unseen Risks. Learn what the schedules are all about, why they’re in such high demand by government buyers and vendors, how to keep competitive pricing while retaining profitability, and where to find unpublished opportunities. He’ll also talk about GSA risks, including involuntary price reductions, country of origin requirements, and scams. Neophyte and veteran contractors wanting to move forward on their goals are welcome.

The event is free. Registration at LoudounSBDC.eventbrite.com is requested.

Event sponsor:   TD Bank
Group founder:   Loudoun SBDC

28

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 28, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

29 30

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 30, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

31 1

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

February 1, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

Recent Comments

View From the Ridge

Correct Course and Review the Comprehensive Plan

6 Jan 2015

blueridge2

Like a ship lost at sea, many residents of Purcellville see the development patterns in and around town as having drifted dangerously off course. The Autumn Hill/Mayfair development – which resulted in the annexation of previously open land, is one example of this drift. The Vineyard Square development project, which, …

(Be the first to comment)

Editorial

Liberty in the 21st Century

6 Jan 2015

malcolm_baldwin

By Malcolm F. Baldwin Our elected leaders frequently express thanks for the “blessings of liberty,” reminding us of the importance of adhering to our founding fathers’ “original intent” as expressed in the Constitution. But what, exactly, is “liberty,” and what guidance would the founders offer us in facing today’s complex issues? Within only a few years of independence from Britain …

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December Cartoon

10 Dec 2014

Blog this! Bookmark on Delicious Digg this post Recommend on Facebook Share on Linkedin Share with Stumblers Tweet about it Subscribe to the comments on this post Print for later Bookmark in Browser Tell a friend

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Lifestyle

Call for Volunteers

25 Jan 2015

loudoun_wildlife_conservancy_bandana

On Saturday, January 31 from 10:30 – 11:30 a.m., the Loudoun Wildlife Conservancy will host a Volunteer Orientation and Opportunity Showcase at the Morven Park Carriage Museum. Want to learn more about Loudoun Wildlife Conservancy? Do you want to get involved in your community, but don’t have a good idea where to start? Do you want to meet some new …

(Be the first to comment)

Two Kitchen Cousins Present – Let’s Throw a Winter Chili Party

6 Jan 2015

winter_drive

By Lisa Wasson and Andrea Gaines If you’re going to be snowed in, there’s nothing better than being snowed in with something savory simmering on the stove and making the house smell delicious. This chili recipe – meant to satisfy both the vegetarian and the meat eater in your household – fits the bill. It has a deep, spicy flavor …

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Exhibit Space Available for Loudoun YouthFest

6 Jan 2015

exhibitspace youth fest

Exhibit space is available for Loudoun YouthFest ‘15. The event, targeting middle and high school teens, will feature amusements, interactive games, local bands and nationally known recording artists We The Kings. YouthFest will be Saturday, May 30 at the Barn at One Loudoun, 20450 Savin Hill Drive in Ashburn. Exhibit spaces start at $100. A limited amount of free exhibit …

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Wild Loudoun

See a Skunk Doing a Handstand? Run.

6 Jan 2015

wildloudoun skunk

Skunks and humans have something in common: they don’t want to be near us and we don’t want to be near them. With their bold and dramatic markings, if they weren’t so darn smelly – and for that reason, scary – we might actually consider them to be a quite the handsome/pretty member of our local wildlife community. But, only …

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Around Virginia

Virginia Constitutional Amendment Passes

Amendment by Ramadan Gives Tax Relief to Families of Service Members ‘Killed In Action’ Delegate David I. Ramadan’s (R-87th) proposed Constitutional Amendment, which passed through the General Assembly twice unanimously, was approved by more than 87 percent of those who voted in Virginia’s statewide election yesterday. It was the only …

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Wolf Urges Holder to Investigate Oklahoma Beheading as Terrorist Attack

Frank_wolf

Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA), chairman of the House Appropriations subcommittee that funds the Department of Justice, today sent the following letter to U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder asking him to investigate the recent beheading in Oklahoma as a terrorist attack and to not just quickly dismiss it at workplace violence …

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Governor McAuliffe Announces Measures to Expand Healthcare Services to Over 200,000 Virginians

McAuliffe

Launches 10-step plan that will reach Virginia’s most vulnerable citizens Governor McAuliffe launched A Healthy Virginia, a 10-step plan to expand healthcare services to over 200,000 Virginians. This plan is an unprecedented action by any governor in Virginia history and includes authorizations of four emergency regulations, one executive order, and …

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Sports

Little League Season Update

8 Aug 2014

ulll

By Carri Michon This spring 2014 Upper Loudoun Little League season found drenching rains making fields unplayable on a regular basis. Over 100 games were rescheduled due to wet, soggy fields, said league president, Norris Beavers. “The most I have ever remembered in my 28 years of volunteering with Upper …

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Ida Lee NFL Flag Football League Registration Ends July 28

20 Jul 2014

NFL_Flag_Football_at_IdaLee

Registration for the Fall 2014 NFL Flag Football league is currently ongoing for boys and girls, ages six to 14, and spots are filling fast. To secure a spot in the league, participants must register by Monday, July 28, 2014. The Ida Lee NFL Flag Football League is the premier …

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Letters

A Loudoun Civics Lesson: It Pays To Have Money

6 Jan 2015

blueridge2

Having spent an evening at the Loudoun Planning Commission monthly meeting December 16 to listen and participate in the exception application for the helipad on …

(11 comments)

Zoning War Confusion

6 Jan 2015

BenPackard

It is often amazing to read articles covering meetings that seem far different than those I attend. A good example was your recent article “Zoning …

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Advice To Developers

6 Jan 2015

blueridge2

We know you want to make money and lots of it. But across America citizens are fighting back. Please don’t destroy our quaint little town. …

(1 comment)

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