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Reconstructing Economics: Why Nations Fail, Part One

May 13, 2014 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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“People are reluctant to believe physical systems and human systems are of the same kind. Although social systems are more complex than physical systems, they belong to the same class of high-order, nonlinear, feedback systems as do physical systems.” Jay Forrester

Economist Steve Keen writes in Debunking Economics that his discipline is broken and needs help from other sciences. Interestingly, he does this by demonstrating inconsistencies and bad assumptions within economics. Jay Forrester proposed a “systems economics” approach and indeed his collaborators produced perhaps the most accurate long term economics forecast to date with the publication of Limits to Growth in 1972. Using systems biology as a model for reconstructing economics and borrowing from these past efforts I propose integrating into economics the hard sciences: physics and chemistry, the soft sciences: biology, cognitive psychology and neuroscience, and the softer sciences: anthropology, history and the more rational schools of economics. … Continue Reading

Extreme Irrationality Is Extremely Irritating

March 5, 2014 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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“Hurricane Sandy was truly astounding in its size and power. At its peak size, twenty hours before landfall, Sandy had tropical storm-force winds that covered an area nearly one-fifth the area of the contiguous United States. Since detailed records of hurricane size began in 1988, only one tropical storm (Olga of 2001) has had a larger area of tropical storm-force winds, and no hurricanes has. … Most incredibly, ten hours before landfall, the total energy of Sandy’s winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules–the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969. This is 2.7 times higher than Katrina’s peak energy, and is equivalent to five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy’s tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been wider.” – Jeff Masters [1] … Continue Reading

The Party of Lincoln (Part Two)

January 23, 2014 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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“The physical sciences, often called the ‘hard sciences’, are really the easy ones. They are underpinned by conservation laws and invariance principles in ways that differ from the biological, and even more the social, sciences.” Robert M. May, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, [1].

Climate Reality

On the most basic level and referring to the Robert May quote above, the study of planetary climate systems is a physical science. I’ve described most of the forcings and feedbacks previously [2]. Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas and has certain other physical properties which result in its being the principle greenhouse gas or thermostat of any planet similar to Earth [3]. At the temperature and atmospheric pressure at the surface of our planet carbon dioxide is a gas and is well-mixed in the atmosphere. Water by contrast is a liquid and only very reluctantly vaporizes. We have oceans of liquid water on our planet’s surface and yet very little water vapor. It is not well mixed in the atmosphere. There is very little water vapor over the Sahara or Antarctica or over any other desert. Since the temperature falls precipitously with altitude over the surface the percentage of water vapor falls dramatically as well. … Continue Reading

The Party of Lincoln

January 13, 2014 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
noerpel150

“The physical sciences, often called the ‘hard sciences’, are really the easy ones. They are underpinned by conservation laws and invariance principles in ways that differ from the biological, and even more the social, sciences.” Robert M. May, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, [1].

Tony Noerpel

Executive Summary

I’ve done it again. I’ve taken a very simple theme and went crazy with it. Since this piece is much longer than anybody’s attention span, it needs an executive summary.

There is a myth in American politics that both political parties are the same so it does not really matter which one we vote for. This is not true. It is my experience that two groups of people hold this view. Those of us who voted for Ralph Nader in 2000 hold this view because voting for Nader helped put George W. Bush in the White House and of course we would agree that Bush was one of the worst presidents our country ever had. Even the Republican Party did not invite the sitting president to John McCain’s nominating convention in 2008. We just don’t want to admit we made a mistake. There are many moderates who voted for Bush in 2000 who aver that both parties are just as bad, too. Those of us in this camp are also reluctant to admit we blew it. Nobody likes to admit being wrong. I certainly don’t. Well, grow up everybody. Admitting we were wrong is cathartic. It actually feels good to fess up that we screwed up. … Continue Reading

Are We Sufficiently Science Literate?

December 10, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet 4 comments
noerpel150

“The only thing that stands between a man and being free is this foolish thing called greed” – “Greed”, a song by Buddy Dunlap.

The widening gap between the reality of human-caused or anthropogenic global warming (AGW) and its eventual severity on one hand and public opinion on the other in the United States is confounding. The debate is not between advocates of multiple competing hypotheses attempting to explain the observed phenomena, which is what happens in science. Rather it is an asymmetric confrontation between scientists using evidence to discover a signal and ideologues generating noise. Finding a denier signal if it exists within their noise is much more difficult than one might think [1]. However, it has been my personal experience that anybody with sufficient scientific literacy who may have been skeptical can be easily convinced of the truth of AGW by the evidence as well as by lack of evidence supporting whatever skeptical views they might have previously held. By contrast it is not easy to convince deniers because they do not know what evidence is, a sad reality which the fossil fuels industry exploits [2]. It is only by meticulously avoiding evidence that deniers can frame their case at all. … Continue Reading

Taking It Slow

December 2, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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“And I have made much more progress in recognizing the errors of others than my own.” – Daniel Kahneman, Thinking Fast and Slow [1].

Isn’t that the truth? Kahneman is not writing about perceiving what others do or write as errors when in fact they are not. He is describing how much easier it is to objectively observe the mistakes of others which if we committed we’d never notice. When I noticed that Nate Silver applied Bayes statistics incorrectly in his chapter on global warming in his book The Signal and the Noise, I was on it like a hawk on a small rodent [2]. I might have misapplied Bayes Rule a hundred times without noticing the errors I might have been making if I had the chance. If Silver had gotten it right in the first place, I may have never studied Bayes Rule on my own and I may never have actually applied it at all to anything. This effort on my part was very intense and exhausting but immensely rewarding. Expending considerable effort for a rather long period of time without having to exert will power is described by Kahneman as being in a “flow”. I have heard it called being in a zone. And that is where I was for the last three weeks. It was awesome; way superior to video games, television or drugs. … Continue Reading

To the Arctic: Amplified and Bayes Applied

November 27, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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“In accordance with Bayes’ theorem, prediction is fundamentally a type of information-processing activity – a matter of using new data to test our hypotheses about the objective world, with the goal of coming to truer and more accurate conceptions about it.” Nate Silver

Forward

I like Nate Silver and I feel bad about criticizing his book “The Signal and the Noise”. But after reading his global warming chapter twice through I have to admit that he deserves the criticism. Without a doubt, when he writes about the physics of climate change for the most part he is spot on. And I applaud his effort to try to understand it. However, my critique is technically valid, no apologies there; Silver blew his Bayesian analysis. He missed a perfectly good opportunity to contribute to a reduction of the noise level of the discourse increasing it instead. This is exactly the goal of the fossil fuels industry. So long as there is lots of noise, nobody sees the signal. I sent a draft to Silver and asked for comments so he has had a chance to defend himself or do the mea culpa. He did not respond so my conscience is clear. The mistakes he makes in applying Bayesian analysis to the global warming problem include:

  • He uses false new data introducing misinformation, which has been comprehensively debunked. See ref [17].
  • He ignores true information.
  • He assumes that the climate system is memoryless.
  • He only applies the analysis to the IPCC consensus hypothesis and not to the myriad denier hypotheses.

… Continue Reading

Energy Summit Comments

November 13, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
noerpel150

Both Sustainable Loudoun’s 2013 energy summit and climate discussion went well. Kent Klitgaard the featured speaker at the energy summit, held on October 25 at GWU, called me the night before from a hospital bed in post op. He had been rushed to the hospital for an emergency appendectomy. Obviously, he was not going to be able to travel and deliver his talk the following evening. I told him not to worry. He could send me his charts in the morning. I could review them and call him with questions and deliver the talk myself. What else was I going to do? A friend Kenneth Davidson, an antitrust lawyer who has written several books would be attending and I would invite him to participate in the Q and A discussion afterwards. We would muddle through. … Continue Reading

Climate Discussion with Climate Scientist Jennifer Francis

October 30, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet 2 comments
climate discussion

Rapid Arctic Warming and Extreme Weather Events in Mid-Latitudes: Are They Connected?

Wednesday – November 6, 2013
Music and Refreshments start at 6:00 p.m. – Program begins at 7:00 p.m.
Music by Tara Linhardt and Buddy Dunlap
Hosted by REHAU
1501 Edwards Ferry Road, NE, Leesburg, VA

Featured speaker: Jennifer Francis, PhD

“Extra heat entering the vast expanses of open water that were once covered in ice is released back to the atmosphere in the fall. This has led to an increase in near-surface, autumn air temperatures of two to five degrees C (3.6 to nine degrees F) over much of the Arctic Ocean during the past decade. All that extra heat being deposited into the atmosphere cannot help but affect the weather, both locally and on a large scale. And there are growing indications that some weather phenomena in recent years — such as prolonged cold spells in Europe, heavy snows in the northeastern U.S. and Alaska, and heat waves in Russia — may be related to Arctic amplification.” Jennifer Francis [1] … Continue Reading

Sustainable Loudoun’s Energy and Economic Forum

October 16, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet 2 comments
energy summit

“I made a mistake.” FED Chair Alan Greenspan in testimony before Congress, October 23, 2008.

“You’ve heard of mental depression; this is a mental recession …We have sort of become a nation of whiners” John McCain’s economic advisor, and former senator Phil Gramm in an interview with the Washington Times, July 9, 2008, eight months after the recession officially began.

“As of 2011 there is no clear agreement of what kind of economics works and what does not.” Charles Hall and Kent Klitgaard, “Energy and the Wealth of Nations”.

“We often underestimate how much uncertainty there is in terms of our understanding of the economy. If you pretend that we know more than we do, you are in danger of constructing policies that can be counter-productive.” 2013 Economics Nobel Prize winner, Lars Peter Hansen [1]. … Continue Reading

Who Are We and Do We Have a Purpose?

August 28, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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“Since we have expanded by use of intelligence and detection of not necessarily sustainable gradients, continued civilization is not a foregone conclusion…. Our oil economy freeloads on photosynthetic fossil fuels, buried treasures that the rest of life passed by. But these treasures are running out.” Eric D. Schneider and Dorion Sagan, Into the Cool, 2005.

There are at least two very good questions a reader might want to ask me, inquiries which I encourage. Why am I writing this column? What do I expect to accomplish or do I have a purpose? The short answers are that I write these columns to clear my head and my purpose, what I expect to accomplish, is to come as close to understanding reality or truth as I possibly can. It would be great to anticipate the future of Homo sapiens and to discover if we have a purpose. The latter is a quest that is limited by my own intellect and also by the information which is available to me within the time frame of my sojourn in life. The long answers are not just much longer but raise more questions. … Continue Reading

Mission to Our Home Planet, a Future with No Landfills and Some Fine Music!

March 21, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet Be the first to comment
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Loudoun County Regional Science and Engineering Fair Energy and Environmental Sustainability Awards Results and Ceremony Announcement

Every year REHAU, Inc. of Leesburg Virginia along with Sustainable Loudoun sponsors four awards for the Regional Science and Engineering Fair. The name of the award is the Energy and Environmental Sustainability Award. The presentation ceremony will be on Wednesday April 24 at REHAU’s North America headquarters at 1501 Edwards Ferry Rd. in Leesburg. The students will display their winning projects and be available to discuss them at 6:00 p.m. Between 6:00 and 7:00 p.m. entertainment will be provided by the Potomac Falls High School (PFHS) Guitar Quartet sponsored by Sand Energy. The formal program begins at 7:00 p.m. with a talk by NASA astrophysicist Dr. Michelle Thaller. Dr. Edgar B. Hatrick, III, Superintendent of Loudoun County Public Schools will present the awards. Refreshments will be provided by REHAU. This event is free and open to the public. … Continue Reading

The Con in Economics

March 5, 2013 by Tony Noerpel Columns, Sustainable Planet 2 comments
noerpel150

“In so far as a theory can be said to have assumptions at all, in so far as their realism can be judged independently of the validity of predictions, the relation between the significance of a theory and the realism of its assumptions is almost the opposite of that suggested by the view under criticism. Truly important and significant hypotheses will be found to have assumptions that are wildly inaccurate descriptive representations of reality and, in general, the more significant the theory, the more unrealistic the assumptions.” Milton Friedman [1].

I first read this remarkable passage by Milton Friedman a few years ago in Steve Keen’s book Debunking Economics [2]. Keen is one of only twelve economists to have predicted the recent great recession [3] so he is entirely credible. Still I’m a skeptical person and with due respect to Friedman I had to read the original paper. Even assuming Keen’s quote is accurate and it is; it may have been taken out of context, and it is not. I found Friedman’s remark so outrageous that I had to comment on it, and apparently so did a whole lot of other people. I came across the original paper along with several critiques by other economists, including Paul Samuelson, and philosophers, including Ernest Nagel, in Bruce Caldwell’s book Appraisal and Criticism in Economics, A book of Readings [4]. Economic methodology is an esoteric subject even for economists but the selections in the book are interesting and expose us to yet another example of how not to think. … Continue Reading

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Sustainable Planet

Turtle Soup

17 Dec 2014

noerpel150

“We can debate this forever. George Will had a column in the last year or so pointing out that in the 70s, we were concerned the ice age was coming. I’m not a scientist. I’m interested in protecting Kentucky’s economy.” …

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Ask Dr. Mike

How To Discuss Racism with Your Children After Ferguson

10 Dec 2014

Michael_Pic

Protests regarding the grand jury’s decision to not indict Officer Darren Wilson for fatally shooting 18-year-old Michael Brown continued for several days and even spread across the country. The ruling and protests (some peaceful and some violent) have left the …

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Just Like Nothing (Else) on Earth

Just Like Nothing (Else) on Earth: Woodburn Road

10 Dec 2014

Point of Rocks

You know, when you look at a body of water, you never really know what lies beneath that often peaceful-looking surface; in Loudoun County (our little locality of contradictions and seeming time vortexes) the same can be said of many …

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Just Like Nothing (Else) on Earth: Point of Rocks

5 Nov 2014

point of rocks

Yeah, I know; I seem to be coming up with a list of contradictions for this particular place: Imposing yet stimulating, simultaneously calming and invigorating, ethereal and grounding, still and moving. Those are just some of the pairs of opposing …

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Sushi's Corner

Sushi

10 Dec 2014

sushi

Dear Friends of the Farm, As Christmas approaches, everyone on our little farm is cheerfully decorating and working toward the many holiday orders, orders that are sure to make wonderful feasts to be shared with family and friends. This Christmas …

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Virginia Gardening

December A Time To Look Back – A Time To Plan

10 Dec 2014

donnawilliamson

By Donna Williamson December is a great time to look back on the gardening year and remember what went well or failed miserably. Last winter’s winter-sowing of seeds went very well in spite of the polar vortex and I was …

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Samuel Moore-Sobel

Author Examines Nelson Rockefeller

10 Dec 2014

sobelpic

A few weeks ago I found myself sitting in a lecture hall listening to noted presidential historian Richard Norton Smith discussing his new book entitled, “On His Own Terms.” Smith argued that despite his many flaws, Nelson Rockefeller had a …

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Amy V. Smith's Money Talks

Amy & Dan Smith’s Planning for Life: Explaining Process of Probate

10 Dec 2014

Smith0035

The term “Probate” derives from the Latin Probatio meaning “proof.” The term came to be applied specifically to proof of wills. In common practice, when a person dies, the proponent of a will takes it to court (usually a probate …

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Student News

Loudoun Student Awarded Environmental Scholarship

6 Jul 2014

Allison_Arpajian

American Disposal Services is proud to announce Allison Arpajian, the Loudoun County recipient of their Annual American Disposal Services Inc. Scholarship. Applications were distributed to all public high schools in Loudoun and Fairfax Counties. One winner was chosen from each …

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Local Residents Graduate from the College of William & Mary

3 Jul 2014

The following residents recently graduated from the College of William & Mary: Alexander Graeme Thomson, from Hamilton (20158), with a BS degree. Gabrielle Alana Graves, from Middleburg (20117), with a BA degree. Kathleen Warren Hale, from Middleburg (20117), with a …

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Kevin Sherman Graduated from Ithaca College

3 Jul 2014

Kevin Sherman, a native of Middleburg, Va., graduated from Ithaca College’s School of Health Sciences and Human Performance with a degree in Sport Studies. The degree was awarded in May 2014.

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Events

December 2014
M T W T F S S
1

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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December 1, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

2 3

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 3, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

4 5

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 5, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

6

Notaviva Vineyards - Bluegrass Jam - FREE event

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December 6, 2014

Notaviva Vineyards
13274 Sagle Rd
Purcellville, 20132
540-668-6756

Notaviva Vineyards presents their monthly Bluegrass Jam a FREE event held the first Saturday of every month!

An event for all ages featuring Ashby Run. Open to players of every skill level

3pm-6pm Saturday 7/5

Wine available by the glass and by the bottle, lite snacks available. Must be 21 to drink alcohol.

7

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 7, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

African Trunk Show (Free!)

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December 7, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
United States
7038482323

African Trunk Show with Beadazzled

444 West Broad St, Falls Church VA 22046
www.Beadazzled.com / 703-848-2323
Join Beadazzled in celebrating the diverse beads and crafts of the African continent and its many peoples. Africa’s rich history of adornment is reflected in the vast selection and variety of beads we will have at our trunk show.
From African-made brass, copper, and white metal beads and pendants from Ethiopia, Ghana and the Ivory Coast; organics such as clam, ostrich egg, and coconut shell beads, batik bone bone beads as well as snake and fish vertebrae; and powder glass beads to the profusion of Venetian and Bohemian glass trade beads from the African trade, you will be sure to find something to add to your collection or enhance your jewelry.
Don’t miss this chance to see, learn about, and shop for African beads and crafts from our friend Ebrima who has been buying and selling beads for decades. Ebrima will happily share his knowledge and answer questions during his exclusive shows at Beadazzled here and on the 6th in Baltimore. And as always, our wonderful staff will be delighted to assist you in hand-selecting the perfect beads for your next project or gift.

8 9

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 9, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

10 11

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 11, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

Start Your Business (Loudoun)Start Your Business Seminar

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December 11, 2014

Is owning a small business a good fit for me? What are the steps for starting a business? Will I need funding? What are potential sources of funding? Ruth Cope, Assistant Director of the Loudoun SBDC, and Arthur Thompson, a Principal of Keyser Thompson Insurance Agency, will answer these and other questions essential for successfully starting a small business. Highlights will include:

  • Entrepreneurial traits
  • Taxes and licensing
  • Business plan development
  • Sources of financing
  • Marketing
  • Insurance

 

 REGISTER at LoudounSBDC.eventbrite.com.

Fee:  $10 online registration; $15 at the door
Those paying at the door are not guaranteed seating.

12 13

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 13, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

Barns of Rose Hill presents “The Woodshedders”

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December 13, 2014

Barns of Rose Hill
95 Chalmers Ct.
Berryville, VA 22611

Doors open at 7:30 PM show starts at 8:00 P.M. The Woodshedders are known for fun, danceable shows that swerve between different genres to create exciting original sounds. They bring together the diverse influences of American Country, Rhythm & Blues, Old-Time, Bluegrass, and Gypsy Jazz. The lineup includes Dwayne Brooke on guitar and vocals, Ryan Mayo on upright bass and piano, Jared Pool on guitar and mandolin, Jesse Shultzaberger on drums, and Dave Van Deventer on fiddle. The band has played Bristol Rhythm & Roots Festival, Mountain Stage New Song Fest, PBS Song of the Mountains, WAMU’s Capital Americana, and are the host band of Virginia’s Watermelon Park Fest. Their third all-original album, Wildfire, was released in 2013 and explores the band’s diverse roots music influences, and spotlights its virtuosic members. $15.00 in advance, $20.00 at the door. www.barnsofrosehill.org

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Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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December 15, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

16

Bookkeeping and Taxation for Small Businesses

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December 16, 2014

Richard Hall, a CPA with over 37 years of accounting experience, will explain:

 

  • Record setup
  • Monthly and quarterly filing and bookkeeping responsibilities
  • The four most common tax returns for companies
  • Important areas of corporate accounting
  • Some new tax requirements

 

The seminar fee is $25 for registration at www.LoudounSBDC.eventbrite.com or $30 at the door. Those who pay at the door are not guaranteed seating or handouts.

 

17

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

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December 17, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

18 19

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 19, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

20

Gustafer Yellowgold's "The Tooth Will Set You Free" Tour

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December 20, 2014

Franklin Park Arts Center
36441 Blueridge View Lane
Purcellville, VA 20132

Two performances - 1:00 p.m. & 3:30 p.m. Pancake lunch - 2:00 p.m.

Celebrate the release of Gustafer’s brand new DVD/CD set: “Gustafer Yellowgold’s Wisdom Tooth Of Wisdom”

“The show is a cross between ‘Yellow Submarine’ and Dr. Seuss.” - The New York Times

An absurdly funny and touching multi-media concert of live songs, stories and animation, performed by award-winning illustrator/songwriter Morgan Taylor.

This live performance will feature new songs and videos from Gustafer Yellowgold's Wisdom Tooth of Wisdom, along with plenty of fan favorites from the five previous Gustafer Yellowgold releases, as well as this year's hit single, "Cakenstein."

21

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 21, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

22 23

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 23, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

24 25

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 25, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

26

December Fourth Friday at Breaux

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December 26, 2014

Breaux Vineyards
36888 Breaux Vineyards Lane
Purcellville, 20132
United States
540-668-6299 ext. 204

Come enjoy the magic of winter evenings overlooking 105 acres of beautiful, lush vines at Fourth Fridays. We will have live music on the patio, food for purchase, and endless enchanting views as the sun sets over the vineyard.  Enjoy $4 mini tastings and a great selection of wines by the glass as you enjoy a fun evening with friends and your Breaux Vineyards family.

Don't miss any of these fun evenings!  The fourth Friday of each month from 5-9pm is reserved for this great event, so plan ahead!

27

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 27, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

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29

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 29, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

30 31

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

December 31, 2014

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

1 2

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 2, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

3

Notaviva Vineyards - Bluegrass Jam - FREE event

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January 3, 2015

Notaviva Vineyards
13274 Sagle Rd
Purcellville, 20132
540-668-6756

Notaviva Vineyards presents their monthly Bluegrass Jam a FREE event held the first Saturday of every month!

An event for all ages featuring Ashby Run. Open to players of every skill level

3pm-6pm Saturday 7/5

Wine available by the glass and by the bottle, lite snacks available. Must be 21 to drink alcohol.

4

Afghan Treasures Trunk Show

Close

January 4, 2015

Beadazzled
444 West Broad St
Falls Church, 22046
703-848-2323

Join Beadazzled for an amazing three-day trunk show of treasures from Afghanistan.

Our collection will include a dazzling array of gemstones in different shapes, sizes, and finishes in lapis, turquoise, and old carnelians along with unusual iridescent heat-treated copper findings and beads-- and so much more.

Antique jewelry and beautiful hand-made rugs and other textiles will also be for sale. These hand-crafted products come from cottage industries, and we are proud to help preserve South Central Asian cultural heritage by marketing this unique Afghan work.

Help us support these skilled artisans by visiting our Trunk Show anytime during store hours from the 24th to the 26th of October!

Visit www.Beadazzled.com to learn more about this and other events.

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View From the Ridge

Debt, Debt and, More Debt … Or, Is There an Alternative?

10 Dec 2014

blueridge2

The entire trajectory of the Town of Purcellville can be summarized in one word. Debt. The massive debt the town incurred to build the wastewater treatment plant – which currently operates at just 40 percent capacity – stands at $33 million. There was a $6 million mandated upgrade to the …

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Editorial

December Cartoon

10 Dec 2014

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Sweeping Zoning Changes Continue To Be Proposed

3 Sep 2014

town of purcellville sign

Visions Of Purcellville Looking Like Reston At the August 21 Purcellville Planning Commission Work Session town community development staff continued to forge ahead with sweeping zoning changes to the town. Latest in the discussion was the PDH zoning district. Vice Chair Dennis Beese mentioned that he thought the goal was to make Purcellville look like Reston. This PDH district is …

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Lifestyle

What You Don’t Know About Propane – But Should

10 Dec 2014

daveschultz

Answers And Insights That Could Save You Thousands An Interview With Dale Schultz Where Does Propane Come From? Dale Schultz: Propane is a by-product of drilling for Natural Gas (Methane). All propane in our area comes from North America. The U.S. is a net exporter of propane, primarily to Central and South America. The propane is separated from the methane, …

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Loudoun Valley Is Where Jones’s Heart Is

10 Dec 2014

rodneyjones

By Hannah Hager If the home is where the heart is, then Loudoun Valley High School is home for Rodney Jones and its students and staff are his family. A life in education felt like second nature to him because Jones, who is Social Science Department chair and presents lectures on both psychology and modern world history, comes from a …

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Holidays – The Season of Giving

10 Dec 2014

Gunderman

By Mark Gunderman Besides the many commandments in the Torah instructing us to love our fellow man, there is also an explicit commandment to open your hand to the poor and to give or loan them whatever they need to keep from spiraling into poverty. In Judaism, giving to the poor is not considered a generous act; it is called …

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Wild Loudoun

The Red-Legged Partridge – Here in Song, Spirit, and … the Flesh?

10 Dec 2014

wildloudoun

“The Twelve Days of Christmas” was first published in the late 1700s. Celebrating a wealth of gift giving and other activities that take place from late December through early January, the famous carol is most well known for its iconic opening verse, “On the first day of Christmas my true love sent to me a partridge in a pear tree.” …

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Around Virginia

Virginia Constitutional Amendment Passes

Amendment by Ramadan Gives Tax Relief to Families of Service Members ‘Killed In Action’ Delegate David I. Ramadan’s (R-87th) proposed Constitutional Amendment, which passed through the General Assembly twice unanimously, was approved by more than 87 percent of those who voted in Virginia’s statewide election yesterday. It was the only …

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Wolf Urges Holder to Investigate Oklahoma Beheading as Terrorist Attack

Frank_wolf

Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA), chairman of the House Appropriations subcommittee that funds the Department of Justice, today sent the following letter to U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder asking him to investigate the recent beheading in Oklahoma as a terrorist attack and to not just quickly dismiss it at workplace violence …

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Governor McAuliffe Announces Measures to Expand Healthcare Services to Over 200,000 Virginians

McAuliffe

Launches 10-step plan that will reach Virginia’s most vulnerable citizens Governor McAuliffe launched A Healthy Virginia, a 10-step plan to expand healthcare services to over 200,000 Virginians. This plan is an unprecedented action by any governor in Virginia history and includes authorizations of four emergency regulations, one executive order, and …

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Sports

Register Now for Rugby

19 Oct 2014

Western Loudoun Youth Rugby Club is looking for players for the U15 Boys team, U19 Girls team, and the U19 Boys team. The club is having a pre-season meeting on October 23 at 7:00 p.m. at the Purcellville Baptist church. During this meeting, any new players interested in learning more …

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Little League Season Update

8 Aug 2014

ulll

By Carri Michon This spring 2014 Upper Loudoun Little League season found drenching rains making fields unplayable on a regular basis. Over 100 games were rescheduled due to wet, soggy fields, said league president, Norris Beavers. “The most I have ever remembered in my 28 years of volunteering with Upper …

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Letters

Doesn’t Belong on 32nd St

10 Dec 2014

town of purcellville sign

Purcellville is a town loaded with character and charm. Increasingly residents seem keen to preserve what makes our town distinct from others. This is true …

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Put Family Farmers Back Into Farm To School

10 Dec 2014

Hillsboro_Farmers_Market,_fruit

Farm to School programs appeared in the 90′s with a three-way focus: fresh, local foods in schools; agriculture and nutrition education in classrooms and purchases …

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A Time of Gathering and Reflection

10 Dec 2014

home_for_christmas

It seems like December is all about Christmas.  And that means Black Friday, endless renditions of “Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer,” Grinches, Scrooges, dysfunctional family stories …

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